Kentucky Derby 2011: Early Favorites and Predictions for the Derby

The Kentucky Derby has Questionable Early Favorites With Less Than Two Weeks From Race Day
The greatest spectacle in horse racing is just around the corner and a few horses are going into the Kentucky Derby on May 7th with very high expecations.
Pletcher's filly R Heat Lightning won this month's Gulfstream Oaks by 8¼ lengths, finishing the 1 1/8-mile race in 1:49.27. That was about a second better than the time posted the next day on the same track by Dialed In, who could be the favorite at post time of the Kentucky Derby, in the 1 1/8-mile Florida Derby.
Pace and quality of the field can certainly affect finish times, making race-to-race comparisons difficult. But R Heat Lightning is one of only three 3-year-olds to record a triple-digit Beyer speed figure—a closely watched formula that handicappers use to compare horses in different races—in a race longer than a mile this year.

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